California 2026 Polling Tracker

California Polls 2026

Source-verified California governor and statewide congressional preference polling, plus a transparent availability check for statewide offices, U.S. House districts, State Senate, and Assembly races.

Updated November 2, 2026: California polls from Emerson College Polling, UC Berkeley IGS, PPIC and SurveyUSA, with original sources and methodology disclosures.

Additional statewide House reading — PPIC October

Democratic 63%, Republican 35%, don’t know 2%. Statewide preference, not a district poll. SurveyUSA remains the latest-field-date reading.

Pollster: Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC)
Sample: 1,086 likely voters
Field dates: October 16, 2026 – October 22, 2026
Margin of error: ±3.8 percentage points

Nonpartisan PPIC; supported by the Arjay R. and Frances F. Miller Foundation. Ipsos online KnowledgePanel, in English and Spanish. Released October 27, 2026. Primary report (PDF).

Ballot measures

November 2 verification: no newer proposition poll located for October 30–November 2. IGS #2026-22 values match its primary PDF. PPIC Prop 40 remains 46% yes, 52% no, 2% don’t know; secondary reports of 42% yes do not match PPIC’s primary result.

Polling only, not a position or endorsement. Updated November 2, 2026. Samples, question wording and survey methods differ; results are not directly interchangeable.

All 14 qualified measures — official titles

Secretary of State qualified-measures list

Proposition 39

Photo ID for in-person voting; last four digits of an ID number for mail ballots.

UC Berkeley IGS — Release #2026-22: Yes 37% · No 57% · Undecided / don’t know 5%

Pollster: UC Berkeley IGS — Release #2026-22
Sample: 1,477 likely voters (weighted, including those already voted), from 2,787 registered voters
Field dates: October 19, 2026 – October 25, 2026
Margin of error: About ±3.0 percentage points (likely voters)

UC Berkeley IGS; Los Angeles Times co-sponsor. Online in English and Spanish; PDI voter-file sample. Official ballot titles and summaries; seven of fourteen measures tested. Undecided includes left blank where specified. Values are printed in the primary PDF, not computed; rounding can produce totals other than 100%. Released October 29, 2026. Primary source.

Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC): Yes 41% · No 58% · Undecided / don’t know 1%

Pollster: Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC)
Sample: 1,086 likely voters
Field dates: October 16, 2026 – October 22, 2026
Margin of error: ±3.8 percentage points

Nonpartisan PPIC; supported by the Arjay R. and Frances F. Miller Foundation. Ipsos online KnowledgePanel, in English and Spanish. Released October 27, 2026. Primary source.

SurveyUSA: Yes 49% · No 42% · Undecided / don’t know 10%

Pollster: SurveyUSA
Sample: 799 likely voters from 1,000 California adults
Field dates: October 19, 2026 – October 24, 2026
Margin of error: ±5.3 percentage points (primary-source credibility interval)

KGTV-TV San Diego and the San Diego Union-Tribune; news sponsors, no partisan sponsor. Online nonprobability panel from Cint USA, weighted to demographic, religious and party-registration targets. Released October 26, 2026. Primary source.

Independent Voter Project / IVC Media: Yes 43% · No 40% · Undecided / don’t know 17%

Pollster: Independent Voter Project / IVC Media
Sample: 2,906 likely voters
Field dates: September 23, 2026 – October 2, 2026
Margin of error: ±2.5 percentage points

Independent Voter Project / IVC Media; IVP co-publishes IVN. Released October 4, 2026 (updated October 15). Primary source.

Trails in PPIC and IGS, but led in SurveyUSA and IVP. IGS Table 2 explicitly prints 57% no, although coverage only said nearly six in ten. These are polls, not election results.

Proposition 40

One-time tax on billionaire wealth.

UC Berkeley IGS — Release #2026-22: Yes 42% · No 50% · Undecided / don’t know 8%

Pollster: UC Berkeley IGS — Release #2026-22
Sample: 1,477 likely voters (weighted, including those already voted), from 2,787 registered voters
Field dates: October 19, 2026 – October 25, 2026
Margin of error: About ±3.0 percentage points (likely voters)

Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC): Yes 46% · No 52% · Undecided / don’t know 2%

Pollster: Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC)
Sample: 1,086 likely voters
Field dates: October 16, 2026 – October 22, 2026
Margin of error: ±3.8 percentage points

Nonpartisan PPIC; supported by the Arjay R. and Frances F. Miller Foundation. Ipsos online KnowledgePanel, in English and Spanish. Released October 27, 2026. Primary source.

SurveyUSA: Yes 44% · No 43% · Undecided / don’t know 13%

Pollster: SurveyUSA
Sample: 799 likely voters from 1,000 California adults
Field dates: October 19, 2026 – October 24, 2026
Margin of error: ±5.3 percentage points (primary-source credibility interval)

Trails in PPIC and IGS; SurveyUSA’s one-point yes lead is within its interval. IGS Table 1 reports September at 45% yes, 42% no, 13% undecided. These are polls, not election results.

Proposition 41

Requires review of new special taxes and prevents taxes from bypassing the state spending cap.

UC Berkeley IGS — Release #2026-22: Yes 38% · No 47% · Undecided / don’t know 16%

Pollster: UC Berkeley IGS — Release #2026-22
Sample: 1,477 likely voters (weighted, including those already voted), from 2,787 registered voters
Field dates: October 19, 2026 – October 25, 2026
Margin of error: About ±3.0 percentage points (likely voters)

Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC): Yes 48% · No 49% · Undecided / don’t know 3%

Pollster: Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC)
Sample: 1,086 likely voters
Field dates: October 16, 2026 – October 22, 2026
Margin of error: ±3.8 percentage points

Nonpartisan PPIC; supported by the Arjay R. and Frances F. Miller Foundation. Ipsos online KnowledgePanel, in English and Spanish. Released October 27, 2026. Primary source.

Trails in IGS. Its 16% undecided/left blank is printed in Table 3; totals reflect rounding.

Proposition 42

Prohibits new state taxes on personal property, including investments.

UC Berkeley IGS — Release #2026-22: Yes 43% · No 45% · Undecided / don’t know 12%

Pollster: UC Berkeley IGS — Release #2026-22
Sample: 1,477 likely voters (weighted, including those already voted), from 2,787 registered voters
Field dates: October 19, 2026 – October 25, 2026
Margin of error: About ±3.0 percentage points (likely voters)

Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC): Yes 51% · No 47% · Undecided / don’t know 2%

Pollster: Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC)
Sample: 1,086 likely voters
Field dates: October 16, 2026 – October 22, 2026
Margin of error: ±3.8 percentage points

Nonpartisan PPIC; supported by the Arjay R. and Frances F. Miller Foundation. Ipsos online KnowledgePanel, in English and Spanish. Released October 27, 2026. Primary source.

Trails in IGS, while PPIC found 51% yes and 47% no, with 2% don’t know.

Proposition 1

Authorizes Bonds for Housing Affordability Programs

Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC): Yes 60% · No 38% · Undecided / don’t know 2%

Pollster: Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC)
Sample: 1,086 likely voters
Field dates: October 16, 2026 – October 22, 2026
Margin of error: ±3.8 percentage points

Nonpartisan PPIC; supported by the Arjay R. and Frances F. Miller Foundation. Ipsos online KnowledgePanel, in English and Spanish. Released October 27, 2026. Primary source.

Printed primary-source values; PPIC’s remaining response category is don’t know. Rounding may cause totals above or below 100%. These are polls, not election results.

Proposition 2

Increases State’s Rainy Day Fund

Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC): Yes 61% · No 38% · Undecided / don’t know 1%

Pollster: Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC)
Sample: 1,086 likely voters
Field dates: October 16, 2026 – October 22, 2026
Margin of error: ±3.8 percentage points

Nonpartisan PPIC; supported by the Arjay R. and Frances F. Miller Foundation. Ipsos online KnowledgePanel, in English and Spanish. Released October 27, 2026. Primary source.

Printed primary-source values; PPIC’s remaining response category is don’t know. Rounding may cause totals above or below 100%. These are polls, not election results.

Proposition 3

Provides Permanent Funding for Schools and Health Care by Extending Existing Tax on High Incomes

UC Berkeley IGS — Release #2026-22: Yes 54% · No 37% · Undecided / don’t know 8%

Pollster: UC Berkeley IGS — Release #2026-22
Sample: 1,477 likely voters (weighted, including those already voted), from 2,787 registered voters
Field dates: October 19, 2026 – October 25, 2026
Margin of error: About ±3.0 percentage points (likely voters)

Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC): Yes 58% · No 41% · Undecided / don’t know 1%

Pollster: Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC)
Sample: 1,086 likely voters
Field dates: October 16, 2026 – October 22, 2026
Margin of error: ±3.8 percentage points

Nonpartisan PPIC; supported by the Arjay R. and Frances F. Miller Foundation. Ipsos online KnowledgePanel, in English and Spanish. Released October 27, 2026. Primary source.

Printed primary-source values; PPIC’s remaining response category is don’t know. Rounding may cause totals above or below 100%. These are polls, not election results.

Proposition 4

Repeals Prohibition Against Public Funding of Election Campaigns

UC Berkeley IGS — Release #2026-22: Yes 41% · No 41% · Undecided / don’t know 18%

Pollster: UC Berkeley IGS — Release #2026-22
Sample: 1,477 likely voters (weighted, including those already voted), from 2,787 registered voters
Field dates: October 19, 2026 – October 25, 2026
Margin of error: About ±3.0 percentage points (likely voters)

Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC): Yes 45% · No 52% · Undecided / don’t know 3%

Pollster: Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC)
Sample: 1,086 likely voters
Field dates: October 16, 2026 – October 22, 2026
Margin of error: ±3.8 percentage points

Nonpartisan PPIC; supported by the Arjay R. and Frances F. Miller Foundation. Ipsos online KnowledgePanel, in English and Spanish. Released October 27, 2026. Primary source.

Printed primary-source values; PPIC’s remaining response category is don’t know. Rounding may cause totals above or below 100%. These are polls, not election results.

Proposition 5

Changes Recall Election Process for Statewide Officers

Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC): Yes 45% · No 52% · Undecided / don’t know 3%

Pollster: Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC)
Sample: 1,086 likely voters
Field dates: October 16, 2026 – October 22, 2026
Margin of error: ±3.8 percentage points

Nonpartisan PPIC; supported by the Arjay R. and Frances F. Miller Foundation. Ipsos online KnowledgePanel, in English and Spanish. Released October 27, 2026. Primary source.

Printed primary-source values; PPIC’s remaining response category is don’t know. Rounding may cause totals above or below 100%. These are polls, not election results.

Proposition 37

Creates Loan Program for Middle-Income Buyers of Qualified New Homes

Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC): Yes 65% · No 32% · Undecided / don’t know 4%

Pollster: Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC)
Sample: 1,086 likely voters
Field dates: October 16, 2026 – October 22, 2026
Margin of error: ±3.8 percentage points

Nonpartisan PPIC; supported by the Arjay R. and Frances F. Miller Foundation. Ipsos online KnowledgePanel, in English and Spanish. Released October 27, 2026. Primary source.

Printed primary-source values; PPIC’s remaining response category is don’t know. Rounding may cause totals above or below 100%. These are polls, not election results.

Proposition 38

Authorizes Bonds for Immunology Medical Research

Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC): Yes 57% · No 41% · Undecided / don’t know 2%

Pollster: Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC)
Sample: 1,086 likely voters
Field dates: October 16, 2026 – October 22, 2026
Margin of error: ±3.8 percentage points

Nonpartisan PPIC; supported by the Arjay R. and Frances F. Miller Foundation. Ipsos online KnowledgePanel, in English and Spanish. Released October 27, 2026. Primary source.

Printed primary-source values; PPIC’s remaining response category is don’t know. Rounding may cause totals above or below 100%. These are polls, not election results.

Proposition 43

Limits Voters’ Ability to Raise Revenues for Local Government Services

UC Berkeley IGS — Release #2026-22: Yes 36% · No 46% · Undecided / don’t know 18%

Pollster: UC Berkeley IGS — Release #2026-22
Sample: 1,477 likely voters (weighted, including those already voted), from 2,787 registered voters
Field dates: October 19, 2026 – October 25, 2026
Margin of error: About ±3.0 percentage points (likely voters)

Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC): Yes 42% · No 55% · Undecided / don’t know 3%

Pollster: Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC)
Sample: 1,086 likely voters
Field dates: October 16, 2026 – October 22, 2026
Margin of error: ±3.8 percentage points

Nonpartisan PPIC; supported by the Arjay R. and Frances F. Miller Foundation. Ipsos online KnowledgePanel, in English and Spanish. Released October 27, 2026. Primary source.

Printed primary-source values; PPIC’s remaining response category is don’t know. Rounding may cause totals above or below 100%. These are polls, not election results.

Proposition 44

Requires Community Health Clinics Spend 90% of Revenue on Program Services

Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC): Yes 25% · No 71% · Undecided / don’t know 4%

Pollster: Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC)
Sample: 1,086 likely voters
Field dates: October 16, 2026 – October 22, 2026
Margin of error: ±3.8 percentage points

Nonpartisan PPIC; supported by the Arjay R. and Frances F. Miller Foundation. Ipsos online KnowledgePanel, in English and Spanish. Released October 27, 2026. Primary source.

Printed primary-source values; PPIC’s remaining response category is don’t know. Rounding may cause totals above or below 100%. These are polls, not election results.

Proposition 45

Modifies Environmental Review for Certain Projects

Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC): Yes 46% · No 50% · Undecided / don’t know 4%

Pollster: Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC)
Sample: 1,086 likely voters
Field dates: October 16, 2026 – October 22, 2026
Margin of error: ±3.8 percentage points

Nonpartisan PPIC; supported by the Arjay R. and Frances F. Miller Foundation. Ipsos online KnowledgePanel, in English and Spanish. Released October 27, 2026. Primary source.

Printed primary-source values; PPIC’s remaining response category is don’t know. Rounding may cause totals above or below 100%. These are polls, not election results.

September comparison — PPIC

Yes support: Proposition 40, 52%; Proposition 41, 51%; Proposition 42, 54%.

Pollster: Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC)
Sample: 1,103 likely voters
Field dates: September 4, 2026 – September 10, 2026
Margin of error: ±3.8 percentage points

Supported by the Arjay R. and Frances F. Miller Foundation; conducted online in English and Spanish by Ipsos using its probability-based KnowledgePanel. September report.

Frequently asked questions

Is Prop 39 (voter ID) passing?

It trails in PPIC (Oct. 16–22: 41% yes, 58% no) and IGS (Oct. 19–25: 37% yes, 57% no, 5% undecided, explicitly printed in Table 2). It led in SurveyUSA (49% yes, 42% no, 10% undecided) and IVP (43% yes, 40% no, 17% undecided). These are polls, not election results.

Is Prop 40 (billionaire tax) passing?

It trails in PPIC (Oct. 16–22: 46% yes, 52% no, 2% don’t know) and IGS (Oct. 19–25: 42% yes, 50% no, 8% undecided). SurveyUSA (Oct. 19–24) had it at 44% yes, 43% no, 13% undecided, a one-point lead within its interval. These are polls, not election results.

Are Props 41 and 42 leading?

Both trail in IGS: Prop 41 is 38% yes and 47% no; Prop 42 is 43% yes and 45% no. PPIC had Prop 42 at 51% yes, 47% no and 2% don’t know. These are polls, not election results.

Recent California polls

Last updated: November 2, 2026. Statewide preference is not a district-level forecast.

Governor and statewide congressional preference surveys
Race	Pollster / source	Field dates	Sample	Results
Governor — polling trend	Emerson College Polling	October 17–19, 2026	1,000 California likely voters ±3.1 percentage points (credibility interval)	Becerra 60%; Hilton 33% Independent Emerson release; no partisan sponsor. Weighted by gender, education, party registration and region; MMS text-to-web and panel interviews matched to the Aristotle voter file. Leaner-pushed result: Becerra 64%, Hilton 36%; headline remains 60%/33% with 7% undecided.
Statewide House preference	SurveyUSA	October 19–24, 2026	799 likely voters from 1,000 California adults ±5.2 percentage points (primary-source House credibility interval)	Democratic 58%; Republican 32% KGTV-TV San Diego and the San Diego Union-Tribune; news sponsors, no partisan sponsor. Online nonprobability panel from Cint USA, weighted to demographic, religious and party-registration targets.
Governor — polling trend	ActiVote — lower-weight tracking poll	October 17–31, 2026	400 likely midterm voters ±4.9 percentage points (average expected error)	Becerra 63.2%; Hilton 36.8%; undecided not reported ActiVote release; external sponsor not stated. Small tracking sample weighted by demographics and political spectrum. Forced two-way result; undecided not reported. Lower-weight, not a headline number.
Governor — polling trend	UC Berkeley IGS — Release #2026-23	October 19–25, 2026	1,477 likely voters (weighted, including those already voted), from 2,787 registered voters About ±3.0 percentage points (likely voters)	Becerra 61%; Hilton 34%; undecided 5% UC Berkeley IGS, co-sponsored by the Los Angeles Times. Online in English and Spanish; PDI voter-file sample. Favorable/unfavorable: Becerra 53%/41%, Hilton 34%/56%. NPP/other: Becerra 59%, Hilton 31%, undecided 10%; subgroup uncertainty is larger. September IGS: 58%/33%. Newest independent governor release verified in this update.
Governor — polling trend	Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC)	October 16–22, 2026	1,086 likely voters ±3.8 percentage points	Becerra 61%; Hilton 37%; undecided not reported Nonpartisan PPIC; supported by the Arjay R. and Frances F. Miller Foundation. Ipsos online KnowledgePanel, in English and Spanish.
Governor — polling trend	SurveyUSA	October 19–24, 2026	799 likely voters from 1,000 California adults ±5.3 percentage points (primary-source credibility interval)	Becerra 54%; Hilton 32%; undecided 14% KGTV-TV San Diego and the San Diego Union-Tribune; news sponsors, no partisan sponsor. Online nonprobability panel from Cint USA, weighted to demographic, religious and party-registration targets.
Governor — polling trend	ActiVote — lower-weight tracking poll	September 24, 2026–October 16, 2026	400 likely midterm voters (primary release) ±4.9 percentage points (average expected error)	Becerra 62.8%; Hilton 37.2%; undecided not reported ActiVote release; external sponsor not stated. Small sample over a three-week field period; shown for completeness, not a headline number.
Governor — polling trend	UC Berkeley IGS — Release #2026-19	September 15–20, 2026	4,512 likely voters, weighted subset of 6,989 registered voters About ±2.0 percentage points	Becerra 58%; Hilton 33%; undecided 9% UC Berkeley IGS; funding provided in part by the Los Angeles Times. Online in English and Spanish. Favorable/unfavorable: Becerra 48%/40%; Hilton 35%/51%.
Governor — polling trend	Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC)	September 4–10, 2026	1,103 likely voters ±3.8 percentage points	Becerra 60%; Hilton 38%; undecided not reported Supported by the Arjay R. and Frances F. Miller Foundation; conducted online in English and Spanish by Ipsos using its probability-based KnowledgePanel.
Governor — polling trend	Berkeley IGS / Los Angeles Times	August 3–9, 2026	2,310 likely voters ±2.5 percentage points	Becerra 55%; Hilton 37%; undecided 7% Berkeley IGS Poll, co-sponsored by the Los Angeles Times.

These are individual published surveys, not an average or prediction. Follow the original sources for question wording and methodology; sample sizes, margins of error and sponsor disclosures appear below. No verified polls are substituted with estimates.

Featured Emerson governor survey: undecided 7%. Headline figures exclude leaners; newer PPIC and SurveyUSA releases are listed below.

Featured California Governor Poll · General Election

Xavier Becerra (D) vs. Steve Hilton (R)

Emerson College Polling statewide survey

Published October 21, 2026

Xavier Becerra (D)60%

Steve Hilton (R)33%

Pollster: Emerson College Polling
Sample: 1,000 California likely voters
Field dates: October 17, 2026 – October 19, 2026
Margin of error: ±3.1 percentage points (credibility interval)

Independent Emerson release; no partisan sponsor. Weighted by gender, education, party registration and region; MMS text-to-web and panel interviews matched to the Aristotle voter file. Leaner-pushed result: Becerra 64%, Hilton 36%; headline remains 60%/33% with 7% undecided. Read the original report.

Among likely voters interviewed October 17–19, 2026, Emerson College Polling found Becerra leading Hilton 60%–33%. The 27-point margin is a statewide survey estimate with a ±3.1 percentage points (credibility interval) margin of error, not a forecast.

California Election Polls — Verified through November 2, 2026

Statewide U.S. House preference

SurveyUSA asked likely voters whether they would support the Democratic or Republican candidate in their own U.S. House district. The figures below are the statewide aggregate; they are not a poll of any individual district and should not be used as district-level estimates.

58%

Democrats

32%

Republicans

Pollster: SurveyUSA
Sample: 799 likely voters from 1,000 California adults
Field dates: October 19, 2026 – October 24, 2026
Margin of error: ±5.2 percentage points (primary-source House credibility interval)

Published October 26, 2026. KGTV-TV San Diego and the San Diego Union-Tribune; news sponsors, no partisan sponsor. Online nonprobability panel from Cint USA, weighted to demographic, religious and party-registration targets. Read the question wording and methodology.

Verified U.S. House district polls

These race-specific polls are separate from SurveyUSA's statewide House preference. Sponsor context and missing methodology fields are disclosed rather than inferred.

View all 52 House races →

CA-1

California 1 Congressional District

Mike McGuire (D)54%

James Gallagher (R)40%

Undecided ()4%

Not voting ()2%

Pollster: USC Dornsife Democracy and Fair Elections Lab
Sample: 444 likely voters
Field dates: October 22, 2026 – October 26, 2026
Margin of error: ±4.7 percentage points

Sponsor: USC Center for the Political Future — nonpartisan, university-funded; no political, corporate or external sponsor. Released October 30, 2026. Initial ballot shown. After pushing undecideds: Mike McGuire / James Gallagher 56–41. Probability sample from PDI voter file; email invitations in three districts and email/text in one. Screened to very/somewhat likely or already voted. English and Spanish; CA-06/48 also offered Mandarin/Chinese, Korean and Vietnamese. Subgroup uncertainty is larger. View source.

CA-6

California 6 Congressional District

Richard Pan (D)51%

Kevin Kiley (NPP)38%

Undecided ()10%

Not voting ()1%

Pollster: USC Dornsife Democracy and Fair Elections Lab
Sample: 439 likely voters
Field dates: October 22, 2026 – October 26, 2026
Margin of error: ±4.7 percentage points

Sponsor: USC Center for the Political Future — nonpartisan, university-funded; no political, corporate or external sponsor. Released October 30, 2026. Initial ballot shown. After pushing undecideds: Richard Pan / Kevin Kiley 55–43. Probability sample from PDI voter file; email invitations in three districts and email/text in one. Screened to very/somewhat likely or already voted. English and Spanish; CA-06/48 also offered Mandarin/Chinese, Korean and Vietnamese. Subgroup uncertainty is larger. View source.

CA-22

California 22 Congressional District

Randy Villegas (D)52%

David Valadao (R)41%

Undecided ()6%

Not voting ()1%

Pollster: USC Dornsife Democracy and Fair Elections Lab
Sample: 356 likely voters
Field dates: October 22, 2026 – October 28, 2026
Margin of error: ±5.2 percentage points

Sponsor: USC Center for the Political Future — nonpartisan, university-funded; no political, corporate or external sponsor. Released October 30, 2026. Initial ballot shown. After pushing undecideds: Randy Villegas / David Valadao 54–44. Probability sample from PDI voter file; email invitations in three districts and email/text in one. Screened to very/somewhat likely or already voted. English and Spanish; CA-06/48 also offered Mandarin/Chinese, Korean and Vietnamese. Subgroup uncertainty is larger. View source.

CA-48

California 48 Congressional District

Marni von Wilpert (D)48%

Jim Desmond (R)40%

Undecided ()10%

Not voting ()2%

Pollster: USC Dornsife Democracy and Fair Elections Lab
Sample: 474 likely voters
Field dates: October 22, 2026 – October 27, 2026
Margin of error: ±4.5 percentage points

Sponsor: USC Center for the Political Future — nonpartisan, university-funded; no political, corporate or external sponsor. Released October 30, 2026. Initial ballot shown. After pushing undecideds: Marni von Wilpert / Jim Desmond 52–44. Probability sample from PDI voter file; email invitations in three districts and email/text in one. Screened to very/somewhat likely or already voted. English and Spanish; CA-06/48 also offered Mandarin/Chinese, Korean and Vietnamese. Subgroup uncertainty is larger. View source.

CA-34

California 34 Congressional District

Angela Gonzales-Torres (D)34%

Jimmy Gomez (D)34%

Undecided ()30%

Pollster: USC Democracy and Fair Elections Lab
Sample: 423 likely voters
Field dates: October 16, 2026 – October 24, 2026
Margin of error: ±4.8 percentage points

Sponsor: USC Democracy and Fair Elections Lab; independently university-funded, no political or corporate sponsorship. Released October 27, 2026. Same-party general election. Initial ballot: Gomez 34%, Gonzales-Torres 34%, undecided 30%; no residual is inferred. RCP lists the pushed result: Gonzales-Torres 51%, Gomez 45%. The primary PDF is now accessible and confirms both versions. Probability voter-file sample, email invitations, weighted, English/Spanish/Mandarin-Chinese/Korean/Vietnamese. Subgroup uncertainty is larger. View source.

Poll availability by race

We publish numerical results only when an original poll release or a report with sufficient methodology can be verified. Race guides now cover all statewide contests and all 152 U.S. House, State Senate, and Assembly districts on the 2026 ballot.

Governor

Current public statewide polling available

Emerson College Polling October 17–19, 2026; ActiVote — lower-weight tracking poll October 17–31, 2026; UC Berkeley IGS — Release #2026-23 October 19–25, 2026; Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) October 16–22, 2026; SurveyUSA October 19–24, 2026; ActiVote — lower-weight tracking poll September 24, 2026–October 16, 2026; UC Berkeley IGS — Release #2026-19 September 15–20, 2026; Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) September 4–10, 2026; Berkeley IGS / Los Angeles Times August 3–9, 2026

Governor race guide →

Other statewide offices

ActiVote lieutenant governor and SurveyUSA superintendent matchups

See the statewide guide for tracking-poll caveats and source limitations for the remaining offices.

Statewide race guide →

Board of Equalization

No qualifying district poll located

All four BOE district fields are listed in the statewide guide

All four BOE races →

U.S. House

5 verified district polls plus statewide preference

CA-1 and CA-6 and CA-22 and CA-48 and CA-34 district polls are shown above; SurveyUSA's 58%–32% figure remains a statewide aggregate

All 52 House districts →

State Senate

No qualifying district poll located

All 20 even-numbered districts on the 2026 ballot are covered

All 20 Senate races →

State Assembly

No qualifying district poll located

All 80 districts on the 2026 ballot are covered

All 80 Assembly races →

Governor poll history

Verified earlier public polls remain listed with exact field dates, electorate, margin of error, and sponsor context.

ActiVote — lower-weight tracking poll

Published October 31, 2026

Becerra 63.2% · Hilton 36.8% · Undecided not reported

Pollster: ActiVote — lower-weight tracking poll
Sample: 400 likely midterm voters
Field dates: October 17, 2026 – October 31, 2026
Margin of error: ±4.9 percentage points (average expected error)

ActiVote release; external sponsor not stated. Small tracking sample weighted by demographics and political spectrum. Forced two-way result; undecided not reported. Lower-weight, not a headline number. View original poll source.

UC Berkeley IGS — Release #2026-23

Published October 30, 2026

Becerra 61% · Hilton 34% · Undecided 5%

Pollster: UC Berkeley IGS — Release #2026-23
Sample: 1,477 likely voters (weighted, including those already voted), from 2,787 registered voters
Field dates: October 19, 2026 – October 25, 2026
Margin of error: About ±3.0 percentage points (likely voters)

UC Berkeley IGS, co-sponsored by the Los Angeles Times. Online in English and Spanish; PDI voter-file sample. Favorable/unfavorable: Becerra 53%/41%, Hilton 34%/56%. NPP/other: Becerra 59%, Hilton 31%, undecided 10%; subgroup uncertainty is larger. September IGS: 58%/33%. Newest independent governor release verified in this update. View original poll source.

Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC)

Published October 27, 2026

Becerra 61% · Hilton 37% · Undecided not reported

Pollster: Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC)
Sample: 1,086 likely voters
Field dates: October 16, 2026 – October 22, 2026
Margin of error: ±3.8 percentage points

Nonpartisan PPIC; supported by the Arjay R. and Frances F. Miller Foundation. Ipsos online KnowledgePanel, in English and Spanish. View original poll source.

SurveyUSA

Published October 26, 2026

Becerra 54% · Hilton 32% · Undecided 14%

Pollster: SurveyUSA
Sample: 799 likely voters from 1,000 California adults
Field dates: October 19, 2026 – October 24, 2026
Margin of error: ±5.3 percentage points (primary-source credibility interval)

ActiVote — lower-weight tracking poll

Published October 16, 2026

Becerra 62.8% · Hilton 37.2% · Undecided not reported

Pollster: ActiVote — lower-weight tracking poll
Sample: 400 likely midterm voters (primary release)
Field dates: September 24, 2026 – October 16, 2026
Margin of error: ±4.9 percentage points (average expected error)

ActiVote release; external sponsor not stated. Small sample over a three-week field period; shown for completeness, not a headline number. View original poll source.

UC Berkeley IGS — Release #2026-19

Published September 24, 2026

Becerra 58% · Hilton 33% · Undecided 9%

Pollster: UC Berkeley IGS — Release #2026-19
Sample: 4,512 likely voters, weighted subset of 6,989 registered voters
Field dates: September 15, 2026 – September 20, 2026
Margin of error: About ±2.0 percentage points

UC Berkeley IGS; funding provided in part by the Los Angeles Times. Online in English and Spanish. Favorable/unfavorable: Becerra 48%/40%; Hilton 35%/51%. View original poll source.

Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC)

Published September 15, 2026

Becerra 60% · Hilton 38% · Undecided not reported

Pollster: Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC)
Sample: 1,103 likely voters
Field dates: September 4, 2026 – September 10, 2026
Margin of error: ±3.8 percentage points

Supported by the Arjay R. and Frances F. Miller Foundation; conducted online in English and Spanish by Ipsos using its probability-based KnowledgePanel. View original poll source.

Berkeley IGS / Los Angeles Times

Published August 13, 2026

Becerra 55% · Hilton 37% · Undecided 7%

Pollster: Berkeley IGS / Los Angeles Times
Sample: 2,310 likely voters
Field dates: August 3, 2026 – August 9, 2026
Margin of error: ±2.5 percentage points

Berkeley IGS Poll, co-sponsored by the Los Angeles Times. View original poll source.

Prior district polls — not current headlines

CA-48: RedBox Research

Marni von Wilpert 47.7% · Jim Desmond 42.6% · Undecided 3.8% · Prefer not to answer 2.7% · Someone else 2.2% · Did not vote in this race 1%

Pollster: RedBox Research
Sample: 1,151 likely voters
Field dates: October 20, 2026 – October 23, 2026
Margin of error: ±3.6 percentage points, including design effect

A Fight Worth Having. PARTISAN: Democratic-aligned super PAC; RedBox is its polling unit. History only. Released October 25, 2026. Text-to-web. Rounded headline: 48–43, 4% undecided; exact primary figures below. Other responses are not undecided.

Primary source

CA-48: SurveyUSA

Marni von Wilpert 47% · Jim Desmond 38% · Undecided 15%

Pollster: SurveyUSA
Sample: 518 likely voters from 685 adults interviewed
Field dates: October 1, 2026 – October 7, 2026
Margin of error: ±5.2 percentage points (credibility interval for likely-voter matchup)

ABC 10News (KGTV San Diego) and the San Diego Union-Tribune. News sponsors; no partisan sponsor. Primary release October 8; coverage October 9, 2026. Coverage omits the likely-voter subset and interval; the primary release provides both.

Primary source

CA-22: Tulchin Research

Randy Villegas 48% · David Valadao 44%

Pollster: Tulchin Research
Sample: 800 likely voters
Field dates: June 15, 2026 – June 21, 2026
Margin of error: Not reported in the cited public release

House Majority PAC. House Majority PAC is a Democratic super PAC.

Primary source

CA-48 prior polling

Marni von Wilpert 45% · Jim Desmond 42%

Pollster: SurveyUSA
Sample: 522 likely voters
Field dates: August 27, 2026 – September 1, 2026
Margin of error: Not reported on the cited public topline page

KGTV-TV San Diego and the San Diego Union-Tribune. SurveyUSA identifies both news organizations as sponsors; no partisan sponsor is listed. SurveyUSA primary source.

Earlier partisan poll — campaign-released

Von Wilpert 48%, Desmond 46%, undecided 6%.

Pollster: Lake Research Partners
Sample: 500 likely voters, plus 100 NPP voter oversample
Field dates: July 9, 2026 – July 14, 2026
Margin of error: ±4.4 percentage points (full sample)

Sponsor: Marni von Wilpert campaign. Democratic firm; released by the campaign. Live telephone and text-to-online interviews, in English and Spanish. Primary campaign release, July 27, 2026 (memo dated July 21) · Polling memo · KPBS coverage, July 29, 2026.